Definitions & Measurement (CIE IGCSE Economics)

Revision Note

Steve Vorster

Expertise

Economics & Business Subject Lead

Inflation & Deflation

  • Inflation is the sustained increase in the general price level of goods/services in an economy
    • The general price level is measured by checking the prices of a 'basket' of goods/services that an average household will purchase each month
    • This basket of goods is turned into an index and it is called the consumer price index (CPI)
    • The UK has an inflation target of 2% per annum
      • Low inflation is better than no inflation as it is a sign of economic growth

  • Deflation occurs when there is a fall in the general price level of goods/services in an economy
    • Deflation only occurs when the percentage change in prices falls below zero %

Exam Tip

Remember that a reduction in the inflation rate from e.g. 5% to 3% means that prices are still rising but rising more slowly (inflation at a decreasing rate is called disinflation)

MCQ will check your understanding of decreasing inflation by asking you questions such as:

In which year are prices their highest?

Y1 Inflation = 5%

Y2 inflation = 3%

Y3 inflation = 1%

Y3 is the answer. Prices are 9% higher in Y3 than at the start of Y1 (5% + 3% + 1%)

Using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to Measure Inflation & Deflation

  • Inflation is the sustained increase in the general price level of goods/services in an economy

  • The inflation rate is the change in general price levels in a given time period
    • The inflation rate is calculated using an index with 100 as the base year
    • If the index is 100 in year 1 and 107 in year 2 then the inflation rate is 7%

  • The consumer price index (CPI) is used to measure inflation


The Consumer Price Index (CPI)

  • A 'household basket' of 700+ goods/services that an average family would purchase is compiled on an annual basis
    •  A household expenditure survey is conducted to determine what goes into the basket
    • Each year, some goods/services exit the basket & new ones are added

  • Goods/services in the basket are weighted based on the proportion of household spending
    • E.g. More money is spent on food than shoes, so shoes have a lower weighting in the basket

  • Each month, prices for these goods/services are gathered from hundreds of locations across the country
    • These prices are averaged out

  • The price x the weighting determines the final value of the good/service in the basket
    • These final values are added together to determine the price of the 'basket'

  • CPI space equals fraction numerator Cost space of space basket space in space year space straight X over denominator Cost space of space basket space in space base space year end fraction space straight x space 100

  • The percentage difference in CPI between the two years is the inflation rate for the period

Worked example

Using the information in the table, calculate the inflation rate for 2021 if the price of the basket in the base year (2019) was $400

Good Price 2020 Price 2021 Weighting

Basket 2020

(Price x weighting)

Basket 2021

(Price x weighting)

Housing, water, electricity, gas 950 1200 34% 323.00 408.00
Transport 250 325 11% 27.50 35.75
Food 500 620 9% 45.00 55.80
Recreation & culture 300 340 10% 30.00 34.00
Clothing & footwear 190 210 5% 9.50 10.50
        $435.00 $544.05

Step 1: Calculate the CPI for 2020

CPI space equals fraction numerator Cost space of space basket space in space 2020 over denominator Cost space of space basket space in space base space year end fraction space straight x space 100

space space space space space space space equals space 435 over 400 space straight x space 100

space space space space space space space equals space 108.75

Step 2: Calculate the CPI for 2021

CPI space equals fraction numerator Cost space of space basket space in space 2021 over denominator Cost space of space basket space in space base space year end fraction space straight x space 100

space space space space space space space equals space fraction numerator 544.05 over denominator 400 end fraction space straight x space 100

space space space space space space space equals space 136.01

 

Step 3: Calculate the percentage difference between the CPI for 2021 and 2020

Inflation space rate space equals space fraction numerator New space CPI space minus space Old space CPI over denominator Old space CPI end fraction space straight x space 100

space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space equals space fraction numerator 136.01 space minus space 108.75 over denominator 108.75 end fraction space straight x space 100

space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space equals space 25.07 percent sign

 

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Steve Vorster

Author: Steve Vorster

Steve has taught A Level, GCSE, IGCSE Business and Economics - as well as IBDP Economics and Business Management. He is an IBDP Examiner and IGCSE textbook author. His students regularly achieve 90-100% in their final exams. Steve has been the Assistant Head of Sixth Form for a school in Devon, and Head of Economics at the world's largest International school in Singapore. He loves to create resources which speed up student learning and are easily accessible by all.