Quality Assurance (Edexcel GCSE Statistics)

Revision Note

Roger

Author

Roger

Expertise

Maths

Distribution of Sample Means

  • It is possible to take several different samples from a population, and calculate the mean for each sample

  • The set of sample means is more closely distributed than the individual data values from the population

    • e.g. the range of the set of sample means is smaller than the range for the entire population

    • This is because the mean for each sample is in between the biggest and smallest values in the sample

      • and therefore in between the biggest and smallest values in the population

Worked Example

For each year group in a secondary school, the following table gives the smallest height, mean height, and greatest height for students in that year group.

year

smallest height (cm)

mean height (cm)

greatest height (cm)

7

132

146

161

8

136

152

167

9

142

159

175

10

148

164

182

11

151

167

187


(a) Calculate the range for all the students in the school.

The smallest height in the school is 132 cm from Year 7
The greatest height is 187 cm from Year 11
Subtract those to find the range for the school

187 minus 132 equals 55

55 cm

(b) Calculate the range of the mean heights for the different year groups.

The smallest mean is 146 cm for Year 7
The greatest mean is 167 cm from Year 11
Subtract those to find the range for the mean heights

167 minus 146 equals 21

21 cm


(c) Compare the ranges calculated in parts (a) and (b) and suggest a reason for any differences.

The range for the school (55 cm) is greater than the range for the mean heights (21 cm). The mean for each year group is an average for the year group, so it is in between the smallest and greatest values. Therefore the range of the means is less than the range for the entire school.

Control Charts

What is quality assurance?

  • Quality assurance is a process used to make sure that manufactured products meet required standards

    • e.g. that products sold by weight or volume contain approximately the correct amount of product

      • It is usually impossible for each manufactured item to be exactly correct

      • But they shouldn't vary too much from the target values

  • To assure quality, samples are taken at regular intervals

    • and the means, medians and/or ranges of the samples are compared against target values

What is a control chart?

  • A control chart is a type of time series chart

    • It allows the calculated results for samples to be recorded

    • And it indicates whether any actions need to be taken

  • The horizontal axis will show the sample number (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, ...)

    • The vertical axis will show the sample mean (or sample median or range)

  • A horizontal line is drawn corresponding to the target value

    • This is the value (weight, length, etc.) that a 'perfect' item would have

  • Horizontal upper and lower action lines are drawn corresponding to the upper and lower action limits

    • If a plotted value is above the upper action line (or below the lower action line)

      • then the manufacturing process should be stopped

      • and any machinery, etc., should be reset to bring it back within the target limits

  • Horizontal upper and lower warning lines are drawn corresponding to the upper and lower warning limits

    • If a plotted value is between the two warning lines

      • then everything is assumed to be okay

    • If a plotted value is between a warning line and its corresponding action line

      • then everything might be okay

      • but another sample should be taken right away to make sure there is not a problem

  • For a properly functioning manufacturing process,

    • almost all sample values will fall within the action limits

      • So any values outside those limits indicate a likely problem

    • most sample values (about 95%) will fall within the warning limits

      • Any values outside those limits could just be random variation

      • but it is worth checking another sample to make sure

  • On a control chart for sample range usually only the upper warning and action limits will be shown

    • This is because the target range is usually zero

      • i.e. every item being the exact target weight or volume, with no variation

    • So it is only a problem if the range becomes too large

  • A control chart for sample range can spot problems that a chart using sample mean or median would not

    • e.g. a very large and a very small data value can 'cancel each other out' when calculating the mean

      • But you don't want manufactured items being too different from the target value

How do I find the action and warning limits to use on a control chart?

  • You need to be able to calculate the warning and action limits for a control chart using the sample mean

    • If the sample median or sample range is used then the question will tell you the limits to use

  • The target value will be the mean (mu) of the population

  • The warning and action limits depend on the standard deviation (sigma) of the population

    • The warning limits are set two standard deviations above and below the mean mu

      • mu plus-or-minus 2 sigma

    • The action limits are set three standard deviations above and below the mean mu

      • mu plus-or-minus 3 sigma

  • Sample means are normally distributed

    • This means that approximately 95% of sample means will fall within the mu plus-or-minus 2 sigma warning limits

      • So even for a properly functioning process about 1 in 20 sample means will fall outside the warning limits

    • And close to 100% of sample means will fall within the mu plus-or-minus 3 sigma action limits

      • For a properly functioning process hardly any sample means should fall outside the action limits

Exam Tip

  • Remember the difference between warning lines and action lines on a control chart

    • Results falling outside the warning lines might indicate a problem

      • Take another sample right away to check

    • Results falling outside the action lines almost definitely indicate a problem

      • Halt the process and reset the machines, etc., involved

Worked Example

On a production line machinery is set up to produce chocolate bars with a weight of 61.4 grams.

For quality control, random samples of size 5 are taken and the mean weight of each sample is calculated.

The production line is set so that the sample means should be normally distributed with a mean of 61.4 g and a standard deviation of 0.8 g.

(a) Using this information, draw warning lines on the control chart for the sample means. Action lines have already been drawn on the chart.

A control chart for sample mean with target line and action lines

The warning lines are 2 standard deviations above and below the mean
Calculate these using mu plus-or-minus 2 sigma

61.4 plus 2 cross times 0.8 equals 63.0

61.4 minus 2 cross times 0.8 equals 59.8

Draw the lines on the chart corresponding to these values
Label your new lines clearly

A control chart for sample mean with target line, warning lines and action lines

A control chart for the sample ranges is also used and is shown below.

A control chart for sample range with warning and action lines


The first two samples taken have the following summary statistics.

Sample number

1

2

Sample mean (g)

62.4

59.6

Sample range (g)

1.8

2.4


(b) Plot the summary statistics for these two samples on the control charts, and state with a reason what action(s), if any, should be taken as a result of these samples.

First plot the points for the two samples on the control charts

A control chart for sample mean with points for samples 1 and 2 plotted
A control chart for sample range with the points for Samples 1 and 2 plotted


The points for Sample 1 are both within the warning limits
However the mean for Sample 2 is between the lower warning and action lines
This means another sample should be taken immediately to check for problems

There is no action needed for Sample 1 because both mean and range for the sample are within the warning limits. However for Sample 2 the sample mean is between the lower warning and action lines. Therefore another sample should be taken right away to see if there are any problems.

The chocolate bars for Sample 3 had the following masses:

58.8 g         61.3 g         61.7 g         64.0 g         62.2 g


(c) Use these results to complete both control charts for Sample 3, and state with a reason what action(s), if any, should be taken as a result of this sample.

First figure out the mean and range for Sample 3.

For the mean, add the values and divide by the number of values (5)

mean equals fraction numerator 58.8 plus 61.3 plus 61.7 plus 64.0 plus 62.2 over denominator 5 end fraction equals 61.6

For the range, subtract the smallest value (58.8) from the largest value (64.0)

range equals 64.0 minus 58.8 equals 5.2

Plot these values on the two charts

A control chart for sample mean with the points for Samples 1, 2 and 3 plotted
A control chart for sample range with the points for Samples 1, 2 and 3 plotted


The sample mean for Sample 3 is quite close to the target
But the sample range is above the upper action line
This means the manufacturing process should be stopped and the machinery should be reset

The sample range for Sample 3 (5.2 g) is above the upper action line. Therefore the manufacturing process should be stopped, and the machinery for making the chocolate bars should be reset to bring things back within the limits.

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Roger

Author: Roger

Roger's teaching experience stretches all the way back to 1992, and in that time he has taught students at all levels between Year 7 and university undergraduate. Having conducted and published postgraduate research into the mathematical theory behind quantum computing, he is more than confident in dealing with mathematics at any level the exam boards might throw at you.