11. Economic Performance (AQA A Level Economics)

Topic Questions

1
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15 marks

Essay 2

During 2018, the UK experienced an annual growth rate of 1.4%, an unemployment rate of around 4.1%, inflation close to target at 2.5% and a reduced current account deficit on the balance of payments. However, in November 2018, the Bank of England warned that economic shocks could damage the UK’s prosperity.

Explain how demand-side and supply-side shocks might increase unemployment in an economy.

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2
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25 marks

Essay 2

During 2018, the UK experienced an annual growth rate of 1.4%, an unemployment rate of around 4.1%, inflation close to target at 2.5% and a reduced current account deficit on the balance of payments. However, in November 2018, the Bank of England warned that economic shocks could damage the UK’s prosperity.

Evaluate the view that the main objectives of UK government macroeconomic policy can be achieved without conflicting with each other.

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3
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1 mark

Table 1 contains data for the rates of growth of nominal and real GDP and the rate of inflation for an economy in a given year. Which one of the following combinations,

A, B, C or D, shows the correct relationship between the three variables? 

 

Nominal GDP growth

Real GDP growth

Inflation

A

–2%

0%

+2%

B

+4%

+3%

–1%

C

+5%

+5%

+1%

D

–5%

–2%

–3%

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41 mark

The long-run Phillips curve shows that

  • the expected rate of inflation is zero.

  • there is an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation in the long run.

  • there is no trade-off between reducing inflation and lower unemployment in the long run.

  • unemployment can only be reduced in the long run by an increase in aggregate demand.

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5
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1 mark

An economy is estimated to be experiencing a 2% rate of frictional unemployment plus a 3% rate of structural and real wage unemployment. If it is also experiencing cyclical unemployment of 4%, its natural rate of unemployment is most likely to be

  • 3%

  • 5%

  • 6%

  • 9%

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625 marks

Extract B: What is GDP?

 

Imagine £50 notes stacked on top of each other, stretching almost 4500 kilometres into the sky. This fantastically large amount of money (more than £2 trillion) is the current estimated value of the UK’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

1

GDP is the standard measure of the size and health of a country’s economy but it is important to distinguish between nominal and real GDP. It’s the way we measure and compare how well or badly countries are doing. In other words, it is the total value of the output of goods and services produced in an economy over a period of time. The higher the value of GDP, the bigger the economy. If injections into an economy’s circular flow of income increase, then this may generate multiple increases in GDP, depending upon the size of the marginal propensity to consume.

5

10 

Why is the measurement of GDP important? Well, it’s a way of keeping track of how the economy is doing, and whether it is growing. We can also use it to measure one economy against other economies using purchasing power parity exchange rates. If real GDP goes up, the economy is doing well; this is associated with higher incomes, more jobs and higher spending. If real GDP goes down, the economy is not doing so well; this is associated with falling incomes, lower consumption and a lower standard of living.

15

Source: News reports, 2017

Extract B (lines 13–15) states ‘If real GDP goes up, the economy is doing well; this is associated with higher incomes, more jobs and higher spending.’ 

Using the data in the extracts and your knowledge of economics, assess the view that to improve the living standards of their citizens, governments across the world should prioritise achieving economic growth.

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7
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15 marks

Essay 3

In the past few years, CPI inflation has often differed by more than 1% from its 2% target. In the winter of 2015 the UK experienced a brief period of deflation but, more recently, inflation has been over 3%.

Explain the main causes of a rise in inflation.
 

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8
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25 marks

Essay 3     

In the past few years, CPI inflation has often differed by more than 1% from its 2% target. In the winter of 2015 the UK experienced a brief period of deflation but, more recently, inflation has been over 3%.

Evaluate the view that inflation is always preferable to deflation.

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9
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1 mark

The table below contains selected data on a country’s macroeconomic performance over a 20 year period. 

 

Year

 

Unemployment (%)

 

Rate of inflation (%)

Balance of trade on current account

($ bn)

1998

6.0

3.5

–20

2003

5.8

3.0

–19

2008

5.5

2.5

–12

2013

5.2

2.0

–2

2018

5.0

1.5

+3

 

All other things being equal, which one of the following, A, B, C or D, can be inferred from the above data?

  • The natural rate of unemployment is falling

  • The price level is increasing more slowly

  • The volume of exports is increasing

  • There is an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation

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10
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1 mark

All other things being equal, if the velocity of circulation is constant, the quantity theory of money based on Fisher’s equation of exchange, MV=PQ, predicts that an x% increase in the money supply will always cause an x%

  • decrease in the rate of interest.

  • increase in nominal national income.

  • increase in real national income.

  • increase in the rate of economic growth

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111 mark

The diagram below shows the actual level of real GDP and the trend level of real GDP over time for an economy. The economy starts its recovery from recession at point M. After several years of growth the economy reaches point N.

q13-paper-3-june-2019-aqa-a-level-economics

All other things being equal, which one of the following is the most likely consequence of the economy’s growth path between points M and N? 

  • A decrease in the level of interest rates due to deflation.

  • A decrease in the rate of inflation due to increased output.

  • An increase in investment due to the accelerator process.

  • An increase in the value of the multiplier due to a rise in the savings ratio.

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129 marks

Extract E: Financial regulation and monetary policy 

In response to the lessons learned from the global financial crisis of 2007/08, the government of the UK has introduced major reforms to financial markets. The government recognised that systemic risk, moral hazard and imperfect information had all contributed to the credit crunch and subsequent recession in the UK. As a result, changes have been made to try to avoid a recurrence of failing banks and expensive state-backed bailouts. 

The Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) was established to ensure the stability of firms offering financial services and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) was set up to regulate the industry. Also, the Bank of England is responsible for supervising the whole financial system through the Financial Policy Committee (FPC). The FPC identifies and attempts to reduce risks in the system. The new framework is seen as the biggest change for the Bank of England since it was given operational independence for the conduct of monetary policy in 1997. 

Since 2013, the Treasury has required the Bank of England to place more emphasis on helping the government to achieve its objectives for growth and employment, in addition to its central objective of maintaining price stability. However, some argue that trying to maintain stable prices and low unemployment could create trade-offs. 

The Monetary Policy Committee’s decision to lower Bank Rate to 0.5% in 2009, and the subsequent decision to lower it to 0.25% in 2016, have been instrumental in the UK’s sustained recovery and return to low levels of unemployment. The Bank of England has also used quantitative easing (QE) to boost consumption and investment. Maintaining low interest rates is considered by many to be vital for both consumer and business confidence.

 

 

 5

 

 

 

 

 10

 

 

 

 15

 

 

 

 20

 

Source: News reports, 2016

Extract E (lines 16–17) states ‘However, some argue that trying to maintain stable prices and low unemployment could create trade-offs.’ 

With the help of a diagram, explain why a trade-off between price stability and low unemployment might occur.

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1315 marks

Essay 3 

In July 2017, more people were employed in the UK than ever before. At the same time, the UK unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest rate for 40 years. Whilst this suggests that the government’s policies for employment are working, some claim that zero-hours contracts, low real wages and temporary jobs have made many people worse off.

Explain the causes of cyclical and structural unemployment.

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1425 marks

Essay 3 

In July 2017, more people were employed in the UK than ever before. At the same time, the UK unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest rate for 40 years. Whilst this suggests that the government’s policies for employment are working, some claim that zero-hours contracts, low real wages and temporary jobs have made many people worse off.

Assess the view that falling unemployment will inevitably lead to an improvement in the standard of living for people in the UK.

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151 mark

The short-run Phillips curve below illustrates the relationship between unemployment and inflation in an economy.

The Phillips curve shows that in this economy.

  • high inflation leads to high unemployment.

  • there is an inversely proportional relationship between unemployment and inflation.

  • the trade-off for reducing inflation from 7% to 3% is a 4% increase in unemployment.

  • the trade-off for reducing unemployment from 7% to 4% is 3% inflation.

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161 mark

The table below shows indices for real GDP and consumer prices in an economy over six quarters.

Quarter

Index of real GDP

Index of consumer

prices

1

106

100

2

105

105

3

104

111

4

105

116

5

107

120

6

110

123

During these six quarters the economy experienced 

  • deflation and a recession

  • disinflation when in recession

  • disinflation when recovering from recession.

  • rising inflation when recovering from

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17
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2 marks

Extract D

Figure 3: CPI inflation rates (%) for Japan and the UK, 2010 to 2015

 

Year

Japan

UK

2010

-0.72

3.29

2011

-0.28

4.48

2012

-0.03

2.83

2013

0.36

2.56

2014

2.75

1.46

2015

0.80

0.05

  

Using the data in Extract D (Figure 3), calculate, to two decimal places, the mean inflation rate for Japan from 2010 to 2015.

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18
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4 marks

Extract D

Figure 3: CPI inflation rates (%) for Japan and the UK, 2010 to 2015

 

Year

Japan

UK

2010

-0.72

3.29

2011

-0.28

4.48

2012

-0.03

2.83

2013

0.36

2.56

2014

2.75

1.46

2015

0.80

0.05

Explain how the data in Extract D (Figure 4) show that Japan has been less successful than the UK in achieving a stable rate of economic growth.

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19
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25 marks

Essay 1

Between 2011 and 2016, UK unemployment fell from a high of 8.5% to 4.8%. Some argue that government attempts to reduce unemployment inevitably lead to trade-offs with other macroeconomic policy objectives.

Discuss the view that falling unemployment will inevitably lead to trade-offs with other macroeconomic policy objectives.

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201 mark

The primary measure of unemployment in the UK is based on the

  • number of people joining the labour force minus the number of people leaving the labour force.

  • number of people not working who are of working age.

  • the number of people actively seeking work and available to start work.

  • proportion of the population of working age without a job.

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21
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1 mark

The table below shows the Consumer Prices Index for a country over a number of years.

 Year

End of year prices index

1

100

2

98

3

103

4

105

5

106

6

104

7

107

 

Which one of the following can be concluded from the table?

  • The country suffered disinflation in Year 5

  • The inflation rate was highest in Year 7

  • The only time the country suffered deflation was in Year 2

  • Real incomes fell between Year 1 and Year 7

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22
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10 marks

Extract B:       Trends in UK manufacturing 

Figure 1: Index of manufacturing output 2003 to 2015, 1997 = 100

insert---extract-b---fig-1-paper-3-june-2017-aqa-a-level-economics

 Figure 2: Manufacturing employment Jan–Mar 2003 to Oct–Dec 2015, thousands

insert---extract-b---fig-2-paper-3-june-2017-aqa-a-level-economics

Figure 3: Value of UK trade in goods 2003 to 2015, £ billion at current prices 

 

Year

Exports

Imports

Balance

2003

188.5

239.5

–51.0

2004

191.6

253.5

–61.9

2005

212.1

282.2

–70.1

2006

244.0

322.9

–78.9

2007

223.0

313.5

–90.5

2008

254.6

349.6

–95.0

2009

229.1

315.7

–86.6

2010

270.2

367.6

–97.4

2011

308.2

401.7

–93.5

2012

304.3

410.8

–106.5

2013

306.2

421.5

–115.3

2014

293.7

416.9

–123.2

2015

285.6

410.7

–125.1

 

 Figure 4: Annual average rate of growth in UK manufacturing output and real GDP, 1949 to 2015 

 

 

Years

Average rate of growth of UK manufacturing (%)

Average rate of growth of UK real GDP (%)

1949 – 1973

3.4

3.4

1974 – 1992

0.1

1.9

1993 – 2007

0.9

3.0

2008

–2.8

–0.5

2009

–9.4

–4.2

2010 – 2015

1.1

2.0

 

Source: Official statistics for all data in Extract B

To what extent, if at all, do you consider that the UK manufacturing sector has been in decline since 2003? You must use the data in Extract B to support your assessment.

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