AQA A Level Maths: Statistics

Topic Questions

5.3 Hypothesis Testing (Normal Distribution) (A Level only)

1a
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3 marks

A random sample of n observations of  X tilde N left parenthesis 10 comma 16 right parenthesis are taken and the distribution of the sample mean is denoted X with bar on top subscript n.

(i)
In the case where the sample size is 25, write down the distribution of the sample mean, X with bar on top subscript 25.

(ii)
Write down the standard deviation of X with bar on top subscript 25.

(iii)
Use the normal cumulative distribution function on your calculator to find P left parenthesis 9 less than X with bar on top subscript 25 less than 11 right parenthesis.
1b
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2 marks

State which distribution, X with bar on top subscript 20or X with bar on top subscript 50, will have the smallest standard deviation.  Give a reason for your answer.

1c
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1 mark

Given that the variance of X with bar on top subscript n is 0.16, state the value of n.

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2a
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1 mark

The random variable S follows a normal distribution with a mean of 40 and a standard deviation of 8.  The mean of 16 independent observations of S is denoted as S with bar on top.

Explain why the standard deviation of S with bar on top is 2.

2b
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2 marks

Using the normal cumulative distribution function on your calculator, or otherwise, calculate:

(i)
straight P left parenthesis S less than 39 right parenthesis

(ii)
P left parenthesis S with bar on top space less than 39 right parenthesis.
2c
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3 marks

Using the inverse normal distribution function on your calculator, or otherwise, find:

(i)
the value of x such that straight P left parenthesis S greater than x right parenthesis equals 0.1

(ii)

the value of y such that straight P left parenthesis S with bar on top space greater than y right parenthesis equals 0.1.

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3a
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4 marks

The population mean of the random variable X space tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma 6 squared right parenthesis  is being tested using a null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 15 against the alternative hypothesis straight H subscript 1 colon mu less than 15. A random sample of 10 observations is taken from the population and the sample mean is calculated as x with bar on top.

(i)
Write down the distribution of the sample mean,X with bar on top . 

(ii)
Find the p-value when the observed sample mean is space x with bar on top space equals 12.

(iii)
Find the critical region when a 10% level of significance is used.
3b
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3 marks

The population mean of the random variable Y tilde N left parenthesis mu comma 10 right parenthesis is being tested using a null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 0 against an alternative hypothesis.  A random sample of 36 observations is taken from the population and the critical region for the test is Y with bar on top space greater than 0.7778.

(I)
Write down the appropriate alternative hypothesis for the test.

(ii)
Write down the distribution of the sample mean, Y with bar on top. 

(iii)
Find the level of significance that was used in the test.

 

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4a
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3 marks

A random sample of size 100 is taken from a population given by X tilde N left parenthesis mu comma 9 right parenthesis.  
A two-tailed test is used to investigate the null hypothesis H subscript 0 colon mu equals 50
 at the 10% level of significance.

(i)
Write down a suitable alternative hypothesis for this test.

(ii)
Find the critical regions for this test.
4b
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1 mark

Given that there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis when x with bar on top equals k comma write done an inequality for the range of values of k.

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5
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5 marks

Write suitable null and alternative hypotheses for each of the following situations.

(i)
A butcher advertises that their burgers weigh 180 g.  A customer believes that the burgers are on average underweight.

(ii)
The CEO of a large multi-academy trust claims that the students in her schools spend on average 150 minutes on homework each night.  A parent wants to test if the claim is true, so he takes a random sample of 20 students and calculates the mean time spent on homework during a specific night.

(iii)
The average weight of an adult male in the UK was known to be 83.6 kg before the country had a lockdown.  After the lockdown ended the standard deviation of weights remained the same.  A fitness instructor is investigating whether adult males in the UK got heavier during the lockdown.

(iv)
The manager of a company buys a hot drink vending machine for his employees.  The machine is supposed to dispense 350 ml of coffee when a customer selects the medium option.  The manager believes that the machine does not dispense enough coffee.  To test this, he takes a sample of 25 medium coffees and calculates the mean as 342 ml.

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6a
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1 mark

The Starlighter is a new brand of flashlight.  It is known that the brightness,  lumens, of the light emitted from a Starlighter follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 15 lumens.  Annie, a salesperson, claims that the mean brightness of a Starlighter is greater than 110 lumens.  To test her claim, the null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 ∶ mu equals 110 is used with a 5% level of significance.

Write down a suitable alternative hypothesis to test Annie’s claim.

6b
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3 marks

To test Annie’s claim a random sample of 40 Starlighters is taken and the mean brightness, b with bar on top, is calculated.

(i)
Assuming that the null hypothesis is true write down the distribution of the sample mean, B with bar on top.

(ii)
Find the critical region for the test.
6c
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2 marks

Given that the mean of sample is b with bar on top equals 114.5 space lumens,

(i)
state whether there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis at the 5% level of significance

(ii)
write a conclusion, in context, to the test.

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7a
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2 marks

The wingspan of a small white butterfly, W cm, follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 0.8 cm.  A report states that the average wingspan of a small white butterfly is 4.1 cm.  Kenzie, a butterfly enthusiast, wants to conduct a two-tailed hypothesis test, using a 5% level of significance, to investigate the validity of the statement made by the report.

(i)
Write down a suitable null hypothesis for Kenzie’s test.

(ii)
Write down a suitable alternative hypothesis for Kenzie’s test.
7b
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3 marks

Kenzie uses a random sample of 6 small white butterflies and finds that the mean wingspan is 2.65 cm.  Kenzie starts off the hypothesis test as follows:

I f space H subscript 0 i s space t r u e space t h e n space W tilde space N left parenthesis 4.1 comma space 0.8 squared right parenthesis

straight P left parenthesis W less than 2.65 right parenthesis equals 0.034954 horizontal ellipsis less than 0.05

Identify and explain the two mistakes that Kenzie has made in his hypothesis test.

7c
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3 marks

Correct the errors and complete the test.

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1a
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1 mark

The amount of time, measured in hours, that French bulldogs sleep in a day can be modelled using X tilde N left parenthesis 13.2 comma 3.6 right parenthesis .

Find the probability that a randomly selected French bulldog sleeps for less than 11 hours in a day.

1b
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2 marks

At a French bulldog fan club meeting, owners share the lengths of time that their dogs sleep.  Collectively, they have 8 French bulldogs, and it can be assumed that they form a random sample.

Find the probability that the mean length of time that the 8 French bulldogs sleep is less than 11 hours in a day.

1c
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4 marks

The amount of time, in hours, that English bulldogs sleep in a day can also be modelled by a normal distribution with a population mean of 10.4 hours.  It is known from observations that there is a 10% chance that a random sample of 10 English bulldogs will have a mean of less than 10.1 for the number of hours they sleep in a day.

Find the standard deviation for the lengths of time that English bulldogs sleep in a day.

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2a
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3 marks

A random sample of 25 observations from the random variable X tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma 60 squared right parenthesis is used to test the null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 ∶ mu equals 400 against different alternative hypotheses.

Given that straight H subscript 1 ∶ mu greater than 400, find the critical region for the test using a 5% level of significance.

2b
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2 marks

Given that straight H subscript 1 ∶ mu less than 400 and that the critical region is   X with bar on top space less than 382.29,  find the significance level of the test.

2c
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3 marks

Given that straight H subscript 1 ∶ mu not equal to 400 comma determine the conclusion to the test using a 5% level of significance for the test statistic x with bar on top equals 378.5.

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3a
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6 marks

The mean time that teenagers in the UK spend on social media is 132 minutes per day and the standard deviation is known to be 24 minutes.  Mr Headnovel, a teacher in the UK, claims that the students at his school spend more time on social media than the country’s average.  He takes a random sample of 15 students and calculates the mean time spent on social media to be 144 minutes.

Stating your hypotheses clearly, test Mr Headnovel’s claim using a 5% level of significance.

3b
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2 marks

State two assumptions you had to make about the times that teenagers in Mr Headnovel’s school spend on social media?

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4a
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4 marks

Adrenaline is a new rollercoaster at a theme park. It is known that the time a customer spends in the queue follows a normal distribution with a variance of 52 minutes².  The mean time spent in a queue for other rollercoasters is 41 minutes.  The manager of the theme park wants to use a hypothesis test to investigate whether the mean time in the queue for Adrenaline is different to the mean time for the other rollercoasters.  She takes a sample of 10 customers over a period of several days and records their times spent in the queue for Adrenaline.

Find the critical region for the test at the 10% level of significance. State your hypotheses clearly.

4b
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3 marks

The queuing times for the 10 people in the sample are:

38        49        40        39        49

39        59        32        55        41

State the conclusion of the test in context.

4c
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2 marks

It was discovered that the manager always took her sample during the first opening hour of the day.

Explain the effect this has on the conclusion to the test.

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5a
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4 marks

Pizza Prince is a fast-food restaurant which is known for their Crown pizza.  The weights of Crown pizza are normally distributed with standard deviation 42 g.  It is thought that the mean weight,mu, is 350 g.

A restaurant inspector believes that the mean weight of the Crown pizza is less than
350 g.  She visits the restaurant over the period of a week, and samples and weighs five randomly selected Crown pizzas.  She uses the data to carry out a hypothesis test at the 5% level of significance.

She tests straight H subscript 0 ∶ mu equals 350  against  straight H subscript 1 ∶ mu less than 350.

When the inspector writes up her report, she can only find the values for four of the weights, these are shown below:

325.2              356.1              319.7              300.5

Given that the result of the hypothesis test is that there is insufficient evidence to reject straight H subscript 0 at the 5% level of significance, calculate the minimum possible value for the missing weight, w. Give your answer correct to 1 decimal place.

5b
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4 marks

The inspector remembers her assistant claiming that if she had used a 10% level of significance then the outcome to the hypothesis test would have been different.

Using this information, write down an inequality for w.

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6a
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3 marks

Given that Z tilde space N left parenthesis 0 comma space 1 squared right parenthesis, find the value of d  such that  straight P left parenthesis Z greater than d right parenthesis equals 0.1, correct to 4 decimal places.

6b
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4 marks

The population mean of the random variable X space tilde N left parenthesis mu comma 5 squared right parenthesis   is being tested using a null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 20 against the alternative hypothesis  straight H subscript 1 colon mu greater than 20.  A random sample of  observations is taken from the population and the sample mean is calculated as 22.

Using a 10% level of significance, the null hypothesis is rejected. Find the smallest possible value of the sample size n.

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1a
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1 mark

The gestation period of a female kangaroo, X  can be modelled as a normal distribution with a mean of 29 days and a standard deviation of 4 days.

Given that a randomly selected female kangaroo is pregnant, find the probability that the gestation period will be between 25 and 32 days.

1b
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2 marks

A random sample of 16 pregnant kangaroos is taken and the mean of their gestation periods is calculated.

(i)
Write down the distribution of the sample meanX with bar on top

(ii)
Calculate the probability that the sample mean of the 16 gestation periods is between 25 and 32 days.

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2a
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2 marks

For the video game Super Maria, it is known that the length of time, T minutes, it takes a gamer to complete the final level of the game can be modelled as a normal distribution with T tilde space N left parenthesis 57.2 comma 5 squared right parenthesis.

Find the interquartile range for the times taken to complete the final level of Super Maria.

2b
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4 marks

During a Super Maria competition, gamers are randomly put into teams of 9 and each member plays the final level.  The mean time for each team is calculated and prizes are given to teams whose means are in the fastest 10% of mean times.

(i)
Write down the distribution of the sample mean, T with bar on top.

(ii)
Find, to the nearest second, the maximum mean time that would lead to a team winning a prize.  Give your answer in minutes and seconds.

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3a
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2 marks

The mass of a Burmese cat, C, follows a normal distribution with a mean of 4.2 kg and a standard deviation 1.3 kg.  Kamala, a cat breeder, claims that Burmese cats weigh more than the average if they live in a household which contains young children.  To test her claim, Kamala takes a random sample of 25 cats that live in households containing young children.

The null hypothesis, straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 4.2, is used to test Kamala’s claim.

(i)
Write down the alternative hypothesis to test Kamala’s claim.

(ii)
Write down the distribution of the sample meanC with bar on top.
3b
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2 marks

Using a 5% level of significance, find the critical region for this test.

3c
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2 marks

Kamala calculates the mean of the 25 cats included in her sample to be 4.65 kg.

Determine the outcome of the hypothesis test at the 5% level of significance, giving your answer in context.

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4a
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1 mark

The time, X  seconds, that it takes Pierre to run a 400 m race can be modelled using X tilde N left parenthesis 87 comma 16 right parenthesis .  Pierre changes his diet and claims that the time it takes him to run 400 m has decreased.

Write suitable null and alternative hypotheses to test Pierre’s claim.

4b
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4 marks

After changing his diet, Pierre runs 36 separate 400 m races and calculates his mean time on these races to be 86.1 seconds.

Use these 36 races as a sample to test, at the 5% level of significance, whether there is evidence to support Pierre’s claim.

4c
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1 mark

Give a reason to explain why the 36 races might not form a suitable sample for this test.

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5a
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2 marks

The average length, L, of a unicorn’s horn is 91 cm with a variance of 5 cm².  Luna researches unicorns and believes that unicorns that were born beneath a rainbow have longer horns.  To test her belief, Luna takes a random sample of 12 unicorns that were born beneath a rainbow and measures the length of their horns.

(i)
Write suitable null and alternative hypotheses to test Luna’s claim.

(ii)
What assumption do we need to make about the length of unicorn horns so that a normal distribution can be used for the mean of the sample, stack L. with bar on top
5b
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3 marks

Given that the critical value for the hypothesis test is 92.1 cm, calculate the level of significance for the test.

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6a
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1 mark

The IQ of a student at Calculus High can be modelled as a random variable with the distribution straight N left parenthesis 126 comma 50 right parenthesis . The headteacher decides to play classical music during lunchtimes and suspects that this has caused a change in the average IQ of the students.

Write suitable null and alternative hypotheses to test the headteacher’s suspicion.

6b
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5 marks

The headteacher selects 10 students and asks them to complete an IQ test.  Their scores are:

127, 127, 129, 130, 130, 132, 132, 132, 133, 138

Test, at the 5% level of significance, whether there is evidence to support the headteacher’s suspicion.

6c
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1 mark

It was later discovered that the 10 students used in the sample were all in the same advanced classes.

Comment on the validity of the conclusion of the test based on this information.

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7a
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1 mark

Carol is a new employee at a company and wishes to investigate whether there is a difference in pay based on gender, but she does not have access to information for all the employees.  It is known that the average salary of a male employee is £32500, and it can be assumed the salary of a female employee follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of £6100.  Carol forms a sample using 20 randomly selected female employees.

Write suitable null and alternative hypotheses to test whether the average salary of a female employee is different to the average salary of a male employee.

7b
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3 marks

Using a 5% level of significance, find the critical regions for the test.

7c
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2 marks

The total of the salaries of the 20 employees used in the sample is £ 602000.

Use this information to state a conclusion for Carol’s investigation into pay differences based on gender.

7d
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2 marks

Would the outcome of the test have been different if a 10% level of significance had been used?

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8a
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1 mark

The standard normal distribution is denoted by Z space tilde space N left parenthesis 0 comma 1 squared right parenthesis .

(i)
Write down a formula that links the standard normal distribution,Z , to the distribution  X with bar on top tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma sigma squared over n right parenthesis.



(ii)

Find the value of d  such that  straight P left parenthesis Z less than d right parenthesis equals 0.05 , correct to 4 decimal places.

8b
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4 marks

The population mean of the random variable X tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma 10 squared right parenthesis is being tested using a null hypothesis  straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 30 against the alternative hypothesis  straight H subscript 1 colon mu less than 30.  A random sample of  observations is taken from the population and the sample mean is calculated as 28.

Using a 5% level of significance, there is not enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

(i)
Show that

 square root of n less than 8.2245

(ii)
Hence find the greatest possible value for the sample size, n .

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1a
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1 mark

A sample of n observations is taken from the distribution X space tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma sigma squared right parenthesis .

Write down the distribution of the sample mean, X with bar on top

1b
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1 mark

The mass of a penny follows a normal distribution with a mean of 3.56 g and a standard deviation of 0.63 g.

Find the probability that a randomly selected penny weighs less than 3.9 g.

1c
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5 marks

Stuart has ten random pennies in his pocket.

(i)
Find the probability that the total mass of the ten pennies is less than 39 g.

(ii)
Find the probability that more than half of Stuart’s pennies weigh less than  3.9 g.

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2a
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2 marks

Zodiac Soda Ltd sells watermelon flavoured soda.  The volume of soda in one of the bottles, V ml, is modelled using the distribution V space tilde space N left parenthesis w comma 9 squared right parenthesis .

Find the probability that the volume of a randomly selected bottle of watermelon flavoured soda is within 10 ml of w.

2b
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4 marks

Zodiac Soda Ltd sells the soda in packs of eight bottles.

A pack is chosen at random. Find the probability the mean volume of the eight bottles is within 5 ml of w.

2c
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3 marks

A pack is classed as insufficient if the mean volume of the eight bottles is less than 374 ml.

Given that 2.5% of all packs are insufficient, calculate the value of w giving your answer to the nearest millilitre.

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3a
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2 marks

The population mean of the random variable  X space tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma 5 squared right parenthesis is being tested using a null hypothesis  straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals p against the alternative hypothesis  straight H subscript 1 colon mu not equal to p. A random sample of 16 observations is taken from the population and the sample mean is calculated as x with bar on top equals s. There is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis using a 5% level of significance.

When p equals 30 find the range of values for s.

3b
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3 marks

When space s equals 25 find the range of values for p.

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4a
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6 marks

Margot, a biologist, is researching the lengths of snails that are bred in captivity.  It is known that the standard deviation of the length of a snail in captivity is 7.2 mm.  Margot claims that the mean length of snails is less than 60 mm.  Taking 20 snails as a sample, Margot calculates the sample mean as 56.1 mm.

Stating your hypotheses clearly, test Margot’s claim using a 1% level of significance.

4b
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2 marks

State two assumptions that you made whilst carrying out the test in part (a).

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5a
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1 mark

The weight of an adult pig can be modelled using a normal distribution with a mean of 255 kg and a variance of 2000 kg². A pig is labelled as supersized if it weighs more than 350 kg.

Using the model, find the probability that a randomly selected pig is labelled as supersized. Give your answer to four decimal places.

5b
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4 marks

Ramon, a farmer, believes that the probability that his pigs are supersized is higher than the probability given by the model.  To test his belief Ramon randomly selects 12 pigs that he has owned and finds that two of them were classed as supersized.

Stating your hypotheses clearly, test Ramon’s belief using a 5% level of significance.

5c
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4 marks

Ramon also claims that the mean weight of the pigs on his farm is higher than the mean weight according to the model.  Using the 12 pigs in his sample, Ramon calculates the sample mean as 273 kg.

Stating your hypotheses clearly, test Ramon’s claim using a 5% level of significance.

5d
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2 marks

What do the results from parts (b) and (c) suggest about the variance of the weights of the pigs on Ramon’s farm? Explain your answer.

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6a
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5 marks

Dr Yassin is a newly qualified dentist.  The length of time it takes him to perform a routine tooth extraction is normally distributed with a standard deviation of 41 seconds.  The mean time for a tooth extraction, mu, should be 420 seconds.  His supervisor, Dr Holden, takes a random sample of six patients and records how long it takes Dr Yassin to perform the procedure.  Five of the times are:

 433        381       498       363      419

Dr Holden uses a 5% level of significance to test straight H subscript 0 ∶ mu equals 420  against straight H subscript 1 ∶ mu not equal to 420.

Given that the result of the hypothesis test is that there is insufficient evidence to reject at the 5% level of significance, find an inequality for the length of time, t , for the sixth procedure.

6b
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4 marks

If Dr Holden had instead used the alternative hypothesis straight H subscript 1 ∶ mu less than 420 then the result would have been different.

Using this information, find an improved inequality for t.

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7a
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3 marks

Cyd is a fan of jazz music.  The length of a jazz song, L, follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 0.71 minutes. Cyd claims that the mean length of a jazz song is less than 4 minutes.  To test her claim, she takes a random sample of 40 songs and calculates the sample mean.

Stating your hypotheses clearly, find the critical region for Cyd’s test using a 5% level of significance.

7b
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1 mark

Cyd decides to include more songs in her sample, what effect would this have on the critical region?

7c
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4 marks

Cyd includes n songs in her sample and calculates the sample mean as 3.95 minutes.

Given that this sample mean is in the critical region, find the minimum possible value for the sample size n.

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