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CIE AS Maths: Probability & Statistics 1

Revision Notes

Home / AS / Maths: Probability & Statistics 1 / CIE / Revision Notes / 3. Statistical Distributions / 3.1 Probability Distributions / 3.1.2 E(X) & Var(X) (Discrete)


3.1.2 E(X) & Var(X) (Discrete)


E(X) & Var(X) (Discrete)

What does E(X) mean and how do I calculate E(X)?

  • E(X) means the expected value or the mean of a random variable X
  • For a discrete random variable, it is calculated by:
    • Multiplying each value of X with its corresponding probability
    • Adding all these terms together

straight capital sigmax straight P left parenthesis X equals x right parenthesis

  • Look out for symmetrical distributions (where the values of X are symmetrical and their probabilities are symmetrical) as the mean of these is the same as the median
    • For example if X can take the values 1, 5, 9 with probabilities 0.3, 0.4, 0.3 respectively then by symmetry the mean would be 5

How do I calculate E(X²)?

  • E(X²) means the expected value or the mean of a random variable defined as X²
  • For a discrete random variable, it is calculated by:
    • Squaring each value of X  to get the values of X2
    • Multiplying each value of X2 with its corresponding probability
    • Adding all these terms together

straight capital sigmax squared straight P left parenthesis X equals x right parenthesis

  • In a similar way E(f(x))  can be calculated for a discrete random variable by:
    • Applying the function f to each value of to get the values of f(X)
    • Multiplying each value of f(X ) with its corresponding probability
    • Adding all these terms together

straight capital sigmaf left parenthesis x right parenthesis space straight P left parenthesis X equals x right parenthesis

3-1-2-ex-_-varx-discrete-diagram-1

3-1-2-ex-_-varx-discrete-diagram-2

Is E(X²) equal to (E(X))²?

  • Definitely not!
    • They are only equal if X can take only one value with probability 1
      • if this was the case it would no longer be a random variable
  • E(X²) is the mean of the values of X²
  • (E(X))² is the square of the mean of the values of X
  • To see the difference
    • Imagine a random variable X that can only take the values 1 and -1 with equal chance
    • The mean would be 0 so the square of the mean would also be 0
    • The square values would be 1 and 1 so the mean of the squares would also be 1
  • In general E(f(X)) does not equal f(E(X)) where f is a function
    • So if you wanted to find something like begin mathsize 16px style E open parentheses 1 over x close parentheses end style then you would have to use the definition and calculate:

begin inline style stack sum begin display style 1 over x end style straight P left parenthesis X equals x right parenthesis with blank below end style

What does Var(X) mean and how do I calculate Var(X)?

  • Var(X) means the variance of a random variable X
  • For any random variable this can be calculated using the formula

begin mathsize 16px style E left parenthesis X to the power of blank squared end exponent right parenthesis minus left parenthesis E left parenthesis X right parenthesis right parenthesis squared end style

    • This is the mean of the squares of X minus the square of the mean of X
    • Compare this to the definition of the variance of a set of data
  • Var(X) is always positive
  • The standard deviation of a random variable X is the square root of Var(X)

Worked Example

The discrete random variable X has the probability distribution shown in the following table:

bold italic x 2 3 5 7
bold P bold left parenthesis bold italic X bold equals bold italic x bold right parenthesis 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4
(a)
Find the value of straight E left parenthesis X right parenthesis.

 

(b)
Find the value of E left parenthesis X squared right parenthesis.

 

(c)
Find the value of Var left parenthesis X right parenthesis .
(a)
Find the value of straight E left parenthesis X right parenthesis.

 3-1-2-ex-_-varx-discrete-we-solution_a

(b)
Find the value of E left parenthesis X squared right parenthesis.

 3-1-2-ex-_-varx-discrete-we-solution_b

(c)
Find the value of Var left parenthesis X right parenthesis .

3-1-2-ex-_-varx-discrete-we-solution_c

Exam Tip

  • Check if your answer makes sense. The mean should fit within the range of the values of X.


  • 1. Data Presentation & Interpretation
    • 1.1 Statistical Measures
      • 1.1.1 Basic Statistical Measures
        • 1.1.2 Frequency Tables
          • 1.1.3 Standard Deviation & Variance
            • 1.1.4 Coding
            • 1.2 Representation of Data
              • 1.2.1 Data Presentation
                • 1.2.2 Stem and Leaf Diagrams
                  • 1.2.3 Box Plots & Cumulative Frequency
                    • 1.2.4 Histograms
                    • 1.3 Working with Data
                      • 1.3.1 Interpreting Data
                        • 1.3.2 Skewness
                      • 2. Probability
                        • 2.1 Basic Probability
                          • 2.1.1 Calculating Probabilities & Events
                            • 2.1.2 Venn Diagrams
                              • 2.1.3 Tree Diagrams
                              • 2.2 Permutations & Combinations
                                • 2.2.1 Arrangements & Factorials
                                  • 2.2.2 Permutations
                                    • 2.2.3 Combinations
                                    • 2.3 Further Probability
                                      • 2.3.1 Set Notation & Conditional Probability
                                        • 2.3.2 Further Tree Diagrams
                                          • 2.3.3 Further Venn Diagrams
                                            • 2.3.4 Probability Formulae
                                          • 3. Statistical Distributions
                                            • 3.1 Probability Distributions
                                              • 3.1.1 Discrete Probability Distributions
                                                • 3.1.2 E(X) & Var(X) (Discrete)
                                                • 3.2 Binomial & Geometric Distribution
                                                  • 3.2.1 The Binomial Distribution
                                                    • 3.2.2 Calculating Binomial Probabilities
                                                      • 3.2.3 The Geometric Distribution
                                                      • 3.3 Normal Distribution
                                                        • 3.3.1 The Normal Distribution
                                                          • 3.3.2 Standard Normal Distribution
                                                            • 3.3.3 Normal Distribution - Calculations
                                                              • 3.3.4 Finding Sigma and Mu
                                                              • 3.4 Working with Distributions
                                                                • 3.4.1 Modelling with Distributions
                                                                  • 3.4.2 Normal Approximation of Binomial


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                                                                Author: Daniel

                                                                Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.


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