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CIE A Level Maths: Probability & Statistics 2

Revision Notes

Home / A Level / Maths: Probability & Statistics 2 / CIE / Revision Notes / 2. Statistical Distributions / 2.3 Continuous Random Variables / 2.3.2 E(X) & Var(X) (Continuous)


2.3.2 E(X) & Var(X) (Continuous)


E(X) & Var(X) (Continuous)

What are E(X) and Var(X)?

  • E(X)is the expected value, or mean, of a random variable X
    • E(X) is the same as the population mean so can also be denoted by µ
  • Var (X) is the variance of the continuous random variable X
    • Standard deviation is the square root of the variance

How do I find the mean and variance of a continuous random variable?

  • The mean, for a continuous random variable X is given by

begin mathsize 16px style bold E bold left parenthesis bold italic X bold right parenthesis bold equals bold integral subscript bold minus bold infinity end subscript superscript bold infinity bold italic x bold f bold left parenthesis bold italic x bold right parenthesis bold space bold d bold italic x end style

  • This is equivalent to begin mathsize 16px style straight capital sigma x straight P left parenthesis X equals x right parenthesis end style for discrete random variables
  • If the graph of y equals straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesishas axis of symmetry, x = a , then  E(X) = a
  • The variance is given by

bold Var bold left parenthesis bold italic X bold right parenthesis bold equals bold integral subscript bold minus bold infinity end subscript superscript bold infinity bold italic x to the power of bold 2 bold f bold left parenthesis bold italic x bold right parenthesis bold d bold italic x bold minus begin bold style stretchy left square bracket E open parentheses X close parentheses stretchy right square bracket end style to the power of bold 2

  • This is equivalent to   for discrete random variables
  • Be careful about confusing begin mathsize 16px style E left parenthesis X squared right parenthesis end style  and begin mathsize 16px style open square brackets E open parentheses X close parentheses close square brackets squared end style
    • E left parenthesis X squared right parenthesis equals integral subscript negative infinity end subscript superscript infinity x squared straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesis space straight d x                “mean of the squares”
    • open square brackets E left parenthesis X right parenthesis close square brackets squared equals open square brackets integral subscript negative infinity end subscript superscript infinity x squared straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesis space straight d x close square brackets squared       “square of the mean”
    • If you are happy with the difference between these and how to calculate them the variance formula becomes very straightforward

Var left parenthesis X right parenthesis equals straight E left parenthesis X squared right parenthesis minus open square brackets straight E left parenthesis X right parenthesis close square brackets squared

How do I calculate E(g(X))?

  • straight E open parentheses g open parentheses X close parentheses close parentheses equals integral subscript negative infinity end subscript superscript infinity g open parentheses x close parentheses straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesis space straight d x
  • In particular:
    • straight E left parenthesis X squared right parenthesis equals integral subscript negative infinity end subscript superscript infinity x squared straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesis space straight d xas seen above

Worked Example

A continuous random variable, X, is modelled by the probability distribution function straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesis, such that

straight f left parenthesis x right parenthesis equals open curly brackets table row cell 1.5 x squared left parenthesis 1 minus 0.5 x right parenthesis end cell cell 0 less or equal than x less or equal than 2 end cell row cell space space space space space space space space space space space space 0 end cell otherwise end table close 

(i)
Find E open parentheses X close parentheses

 

(ii)
Find Var open parentheses X close parentheses

(i)
Find E open parentheses X close parentheses

2-3-2-cie-fig1-we-solution_a

(ii)
Find Var open parentheses X close parentheses

2-3-2-cie-fig1-we-solution_b

Exam Tip

  • A sketch of the graph of y =  f(x) can highlight any symmetrical properties which can help reduce the work involved in finding the mean and variance
  • Take care with awkward values and negatives – use the memory features on your calculator and avoid rounding until your final answer (if rounding at all!)


  • 1. Statistical Sampling
    • 1.1 Sampling & Data Collection
      • 1.1.1 Sampling & Data Collection
      • 1.2 Sampling & Estimation
        • 1.2.1 Unbiased Estimates
          • 1.2.2 Distribution of Sample Means
            • 1.2.3 Confidence Intervals
          • 2. Statistical Distributions
            • 2.1 Poisson Distribution
              • 2.1.1 The Poisson Distribution
              • 2.2 Linear Combinations of Random Variables
                • 2.2.1 Linear Combinations of Random Variables
                • 2.3 Continuous Random Variables
                  • 2.3.1 Probability Density Function
                    • 2.3.2 E(X) & Var(X) (Continuous)
                      • 2.3.3 Continuous Uniform Distribution
                      • 2.4 Working with Distributions
                        • 2.4.1 Choosing Distributions
                          • 2.4.2 Approximations of Distributions
                        • 3. Hypothesis Testing
                          • 3.1 Hypothesis Testing
                            • 3.1.1 Hypothesis Testing
                              • 3.1.2 Type I & Type II Errors
                              • 3.2 Hypothesis Testing (Discrete Distribution)
                                • 3.2.1 Binomial Hypothesis Testing
                                  • 3.2.2 Poisson Hypothesis Testing
                                  • 3.3 Hypothesis Testing (Normal Distribution)
                                    • 3.3.1 Normal Hypothesis Testing


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                                  Author: Paul

                                  Paul has taught mathematics for 20 years and has been an examiner for Edexcel for over a decade. GCSE, A level, pure, mechanics, statistics, discrete – if it’s in a Maths exam, Paul will know about it. Paul is a passionate fan of clear and colourful notes with fascinating diagrams – one of the many reasons he is excited to be a member of the SME team.


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